Scott Alexander, curated
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Is This Predictive Coding?

Quality
46
Solid
Claude Shift
20
Slight
RWI
1
of 10

Summary

A very short showcase of two perceptual illusions (a 'breathing'-dots GIF whose apparent direction-changes track suggestion rather than the breathing; the Tim Urban 'they're saying the one you're looking at' illusion) offered as vivid demonstrations of predictive coding — that expectation and the tiniest suggestion reshape the percept. Minimal prose, pointing back to his fuller predictive-coding writing.

Why this score

Quality 46 · Solid. Solid band, low. A thin, near-linkpost-length entry, but the two illusions are a well-chosen, genuinely striking demonstration of a real idea. Above minor for the quality of the demonstration; well below his substantive essays for lack of development.

Claude’s paradigm shift 20 · Slight. Slight. Predictive coding is from the field and his prior work; this just illustrates it.

Real-world impact 1 · Negligible. A near-linkpost showcase of two striking perceptual illusions demonstrating predictive coding; a vivid but undeveloped pointer back to his fuller writing, no material-world reach → RWI 1.