Stage 2 Of Prediction Contest

A short admin post opening Stage 2 ('Full Mode') of the 2023 Prediction Contest, where participants may now use any resources (their own research, prediction markets, or fancy aggregations of the 3295 Blind Mode answers, which are provided with survey covariates) to sharpen their forecasts. Essentially administrative — a stage-transition announcement with instructions.

Quality 48 · Solid. Solid-floor / low (48, deep-tail). A contest stage-transition announcement, consistent with the forecasting-contest-admin floor (ACX-756 48).

Claude’s paradigm shift 22 · Slight. Slight (22). A recurring contest-admin announcement; no novelty.

Real-world impact 1 · Negligible. 1 — an administrative announcement; negligible durable effect.