Which Political Victories Cause Backlash?

A short puzzle-raising essay: some political victories cause opinion backlash (Trump's election made his views less popular; Dobbs shifted opinion pro-choice) but others don't (Obergefell 2015, Obamacare 2010 produced no backlash). Floats theories (thermostatic effect -- but it fails for Democratic wins; media asymmetry; 'right side of history'; ease of finding a sympathetic victim) and honestly concludes he's confused and shouldn't over-infer from n~5.

Quality 62 · Strong. Strong-floor: poses a genuinely interesting asymmetric-backlash puzzle and explores it honestly, but it's short, speculative, and explicitly unresolved.

Claude’s paradigm shift 40 · Moderate. Moderate-low: the backlash-asymmetry observation is a fresh empirical puzzle, not a developed theory.

Real-world impact 1 · Negligible. Negligible/within-community: a brief public-opinion note with no material effect.