Scott Alexander, curated
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Raise Your Threshold For Accusing People Of Faking Bisexuality

Quality
66
Strong
Claude Shift
48
Moderate
RWI
2
of 10

Summary

Short, sharp follow-up: a 'perfectly bisexual' woman dates ~10x more men than women from dating-pool size alone (her female pool is ~5-10% of women; 0.90^7 ~ 0.48 that all 7 relationships are male), so apparent opposite-sex-only behavior is statistically expected, NOT evidence of 'faking.' Adds genital-arousal data (~10% of men, ~90% of women aroused by either sex) and an identity-as-signal framing ('bisexual' = 'I might say yes regardless of your sex').

Why this score

Quality 66 · Strong. A clean, useful base-rate reframe that does the statistical work nobody else did: dating-pool asymmetry alone predicts most equally-bi women never date a woman, defusing the 'faking it / trendiness' accusation. Fair and clear, with a nice identity-as-signal coda. Strong, held mid-band: it's a brief follow-up built on one core insight, and the closing long-COVID/neurodivergence bit is flagged-conjectural even by Scott.

Claude’s paradigm shift 48 · Moderate. Moderate - a fresh, clarifying angle on a specific debate, but an application of base-rate reasoning rather than a novel frame.

Real-world impact 2 · Minor. 2 - niche-discourse blog post; no material reach.