Scott Alexander, curated
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In Defense Of Describable Dating Preferences

Quality
74
Strong
Claude Shift
50
Moderate
RWI
2
of 10
Humor level 2 badge: Man of One StudyHumorMan of One Studya lone chuckle

Summary

Responds to the NYT 'dating docs' piece + Gwern's argument that date-me docs can't pre-filter for compatibility (citing speed-dating studies where stated preferences don't predict attraction). Argues describable preferences can't be useless: (1) obvious things matter hugely (gender, poly/mono, religion, kids); (2) people end up closely matched on legible criteria (4% Dem-Rep marriages, class correlates 0.8); (3) OKCupid sorted uncannily well; (4) his own 1/500 preference stack was easy to satisfy; (5) the five fake-profile thought experiment (Cindy/Larisa/Sky/Hana/Jane). Then dissects the studies (Kurzban & Weeden, Joel 2017, Sparks 2020, the Lykken-Tellegen twin study) as confounded - pre-sorted undergrad populations, three-minute speed dates measuring only generic attractiveness. Concludes the studies don't rule out that writing/gestalt-impressions screen well; dating docs are a good first-pass for the ~10% who care.

Why this score

Quality 74 · Strong. Top-of-Strong / standout. A persuasive, rigorous both-sides treatment with Scott's signature move (take the counterintuitive science seriously, then find the population/measurement confounds), anchored by vivid common-sense arguments and a sharp study-critique. Held below Excellent because it's topical (a reply to a specific NYT piece + Gwern) and the method is his standard confound-hunting rather than a new contribution.

Claude’s paradigm shift 50 · Moderate. Moderate - a fresh, persuasive angle on the dating-compatibility question in its moment, but built on existing assortative-mating data + his established epistemic method.

Real-world impact 2 · Minor. Within-discourse dating/relationships essay; no material/institutional effect.

Humor 2/5 · Man of One Study. GATE PASSES at magnitude 2 - the five parody dating profiles (Hana's country-named rooms 'Kitchenya'/'Bedroomrundi'; Sky's NVC/IFS/Integral-Theory stack) are a sustained, intentional, genuinely-funny comic SET-PIECE that is a notable feature of the piece (quoted twice, central to the argument), not ambient wit - the documented serious-piece-with-a-notable-comic-set-piece =2 category (cf. Arabian-Nights, Njal). A deliberate gate-pass judgment call; the piece's dominant mode is still serious argument, so not =3.