We Sail Tonight For Singapore

A data-driven rebuttal to the Reactionary 'Singapore proves we should abandon liberal democracy' argument. Scott uses Hong Kong (and Macau) as a natural control group — another British-colonized Chinese city-state, but not Reactionary — and pre-registers a list of success metrics. Hong Kong matches Singapore on nearly everything, so 'supercapitalist Chinese-British city-states do really well regardless of whether they're Reactionary.' Adds Sweden (Progressive) as a comparison, which actually wins the most categories.

Quality 66 · Strong. Strong: a clean, well-executed empirical debunk with a genuinely good methodological move (Hong-Kong-as-control-group + pre-registration), but topical (a specific NRx argument) and narrow. 66.

Claude’s paradigm shift 46 · Moderate. A clean empirical debunk with a nice control-group move. B46.

Real-world impact 2 · Minor. Part of his influential anti-Reactionary series; no material reach. RWI2.