Squareallworthy On UBI Plans
Read the original on Slate Star Codex →
Summary
Signal-boosts Tumblr user squareallworthy's analysis showing the major UBI plans (Yang, Stern/Murray, etc.) all fail on basic math — funding schemes that don't cover costs, or sums too small to lift anyone out of poverty. Then Scott's own flagged 'wild speculation': an end-poverty UBI (~$240B) is affordable via a Bush-tax-cut-scale increase (top rate 37%→50%) IF you're honest that it's a top-to-bottom transfer and don't pretend it helps the middle class or avoids taxes; plus the '$12k = college room and board' point (hidden costs of work) and a GDP-pegged-mandate mechanism for a Yang-style universal version.
Why this score
Quality 62 · Strong. Strong, floor. A useful clarifying core (most UBI plans are math-illiterate, but an honest end-poverty UBI is affordable with a medium tax increase) plus a memorable framing ('$12k = dorm room and board'). Held at the Strong floor — half is a signal-boost of someone else's work and Scott's own contribution is explicitly 'wild speculation.'
Claude’s paradigm shift 44 · Moderate. Moderate (44). The 'be honest it's a transfer and it's affordable' framing + the GDP-pegged mandate are mildly fresh, atop the borrowed squareallworthy analysis.
Real-world impact 2 · Minor. Minor (2). A modest contribution to the (real) UBI policy debate; within-discourse reach.